One GCM at a 25 km resolution were tested (“AWI-CM-1-1-MR”), including Sea Surface Temperature (tos), Sea Surface Salinity (sos), Sea Surface Height (zos) and Mixed Layer Depth (mlotst). These 4 dynamic variables were first (i) extracted from CMIP6 for the historical period (1993-2014) and contemporary period (2015-2020) from ssp126. Then, each variable was included in the initial models run on the available dataset (current predictions: “present”).
The results here are presented for summer only.
Figure 2.1: Max prediction maps for belugas in present summer from the NNEt.
Figure 2.2: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp126).
Figure 2.3: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp585).
Figure 2.4: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2060 from the NNET (ssp126).
Figure 2.5: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2060 from the NNET (ssp585).
Figure 2.6: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp126).
Figure 2.7: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp585).
Figure 3.1: Mean prediction maps for Narwhals in present summer from the BRt.
Figure 3.2: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2030 from the BRT (ssp585).
Figure 3.3: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2030 from the BRT (ssp585).
Figure 3.4: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2060 from the BRT (ssp585).
Figure 3.5: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2060 from the BRT (ssp585).
Figure 3.6: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2100 from the BRT (ssp585).
Figure 3.7: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2100 from the BRT (ssp585).
Figure 4.1: Mean prediction maps for Bowheads in present summer from the NNET.
Figure 4.2: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp126).
Figure 4.3: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp585).
Figure 4.4: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp126).
Figure 4.5: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp585).