1 Context

One GCM at a 25 km resolution were tested (“AWI-CM-1-1-MR”), including Sea Surface Temperature (tos), Sea Surface Salinity (sos), Sea Surface Height (zos) and Mixed Layer Depth (mlotst). These 4 dynamic variables were first (i) extracted from CMIP6 for the historical period (1993-2014) and contemporary period (2015-2020) from ssp126. Then, each variable was included in the initial models run on the available dataset (current predictions: “present”).

The results here are presented for summer only.

2 Belugas

2.1 Present NNET

\label{fig:figs}Max prediction maps for belugas in present summer from the NNEt.

Figure 2.1: Max prediction maps for belugas in present summer from the NNEt.

2.2 Mean 2030 NNET

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp126).

Figure 2.2: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp126).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp585).

Figure 2.3: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp585).

2.3 Mean 2060 NNET

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2060 from the NNET (ssp126).

Figure 2.4: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2060 from the NNET (ssp126).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2060 from the NNET (ssp585).

Figure 2.5: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2060 from the NNET (ssp585).

2.4 Mean 2100 NNET

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp126).

Figure 2.6: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp126).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp585).

Figure 2.7: Mean projection maps for Belugas in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp585).

3 Narwhals

3.1 Present (BRT)

\label{fig:figs}Mean prediction maps for Narwhals in present summer from the BRt.

Figure 3.1: Mean prediction maps for Narwhals in present summer from the BRt.

3.2 Mean 2030 (BRT)

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2030 from the BRT (ssp585).

Figure 3.2: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2030 from the BRT (ssp585).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2030 from the BRT (ssp585).

Figure 3.3: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2030 from the BRT (ssp585).

3.3 Mean 2060 (BRT)

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2060 from the BRT (ssp585).

Figure 3.4: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2060 from the BRT (ssp585).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2060 from the BRT (ssp585).

Figure 3.5: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2060 from the BRT (ssp585).

3.4 Mean 2100 (BRT)

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2100 from the BRT (ssp585).

Figure 3.6: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2100 from the BRT (ssp585).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2100 from the BRT (ssp585).

Figure 3.7: Mean projection maps for Narwhals in summer 2100 from the BRT (ssp585).

4 Bowheads

4.1 Present (NNET)

\label{fig:figs}Mean prediction maps for Bowheads in present summer from the NNET.

Figure 4.1: Mean prediction maps for Bowheads in present summer from the NNET.

4.2 Mean 2030 (NNET)

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp126).

Figure 4.2: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp126).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp585).

Figure 4.3: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2030 from the NNET (ssp585).

4.3 Mean 2100 (NNEt)

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp126).

Figure 4.4: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp126).

\label{fig:figs}Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp585).

Figure 4.5: Mean projection maps for Bowheads in summer 2100 from the NNET (ssp585).